Job done

The job of this blog is done.  Labour has retaken Corby and east Northants. Andy Sawford is my MP.  Labour is marching through the unfamiliar countryside on the road to 10 Downing Street.

If you have been, thanks for reading.

And remember:

Only David Cameron could believe that you make ordinary families work harder by making them poorer and you make the rich work harder by making them richer … How dare they say we’re all in it together.” Ed Miliband

“I come from a generation that suffered school lessons in portacabins and crumbling hospitals. I tell you one thing, for the eighteen years they were in power the Tories did nothing to fix the roof when the sun was shining.” Ed Miliband

“We do not have to accept the world as we find it. And we have a responsibility to leave our world a better place and never walk by on the other side of injustice.” Ed Miliband

 

The EU

By Tom walker (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

I was rather dismayed by the content of some of the failed candidates’ utterances on the EU.

By User:Verdy p, User:-xfi-, User:Paddu, User:Nightstallion, User:Funakoshi, User:Jeltz, User:Dbenbenn, User:Zscout370 [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Basically the same arguments apply to being in the EU as a fully paid up member as apply to Corby and east Northants being a fully paid up member of England or the UK.  We are stronger working together than we are working on our own – that is the whole basis for human society.

I’m a dab-hand at writing (on a good day) but I can’t put a shelf up straight, nor to stay up, to save my life.  I am, let’s face it, pretty useless at everything apart from thinking, writing, talking too much, understanding the natural environment and identifying birds.  Thank heavens there are others in the world who will pay for a bit of thinking and writing and talking! And I redistribute my earnings to those who have more useful skills – the plumbers, farmers etc.  And there are some things that need a really big group effort – like schooling, hospitals and armies where we tend to get together and fund them through governments, and therefore through our taxes, because that seems an efficient and fair way to go about things.

Corby and east Northants would struggle, wonderful though we are, to make our way in the world separate from the rest of the UK.  We put up with the funny ways of the Yorkshire folk and West country men (that’s where I hail from), and even the Welsh (my mother is welsh) and the Scots, just because it seems a better gang than being in our own little crowd.  So it is with Europe, for me.

with a growing China and India, and huge power blocks like the USA and Russia, and growing economies such as Brazil, do we want to be amking our own way in thw world without close friends?  I don’t think so.

Added to which, despite the fact that they can be really very irritating some times, the Spanish, French, Germans, Italians etc are out friends.  It’s very good of them to put up with us since we have won wars against them all – I’m glad that they don’t bear any grudge.

We share a European culture – the culture of Fernando Torres, Cervantes and Picasso, and the culture of Brigitte Bardot, Debussy and Coco Chanel, and the culture of Friedrich Engels, Albert Einstein and Erwin Rommel, and the culture of Giacomo Puccini, Christopher Columbus and Leonardo da Vinci.  And they all share the culture of Charles Darwin, William Shakespeare and John Lennon.

We Brits don’t have to give up being British to be European too, any more than I have to give up being from Corby and east Northants to be Englsih (or British).

And so it usually comes down to money.  We make a net contribution to the EU – because we are richer than most.  That’s how any progressive form of taxation works – from each according to their means and to each according to their needs.  Those principles don’t extinguish themselves when we cross La manche into the continent of Europe.

The EU is very irritating sometimes – it irritates the hell out of me at times.  But then, so do the Scots sometimes but I love them really.  Let’s be a part of Europe and play a full part, and pay our way and gain the benefits of being amongst friends, being safer, being more powerful in the world and being European.

I was very pleased to see Ed Miliband say yesterday: “For those of us, like me, who care passionately about our place within the European Union we cannot therefore remain silent. I will not let Britain sleepwalk towards exit from the European Union, because I think it will be bad for prosperity, it would hamper us in building the one nation economy I believe in … and above all it will be a betrayal of our national interest.”

Corby, Northants, England, UK, Europe – that’s our address.

 

Swing to the right

I found it quite striking that the right wing vote was split in the Corby and east Northants by-election.

UKIP did pretty well considering that it is a party without many policies that make any sense at all.  It is an ‘anti-’ party.  If you are against things then you might well vote for UKIP. And over 5000 people did (the highest ever vote and share in a UK by-election for the Very Nasty Party)!

While I was telling at the Polling Station, one moderately incensed woman came out to give the Tory tellers a piece of her mind (I’m not sure she could afford the loss).  She was an ex-Tory voter who had switched to UKIP because David Cameron was ‘messing about’ with gay marriage rather than sorting out immigration and getting us out of the EU.

Christine Emmett seemed to me to be drifting to the Right through the by-election and the successful Labour candidate, Andy Sawford, was nodding in the direction of right wing worries with some of his pledges.

The danger is that Labour will move to the Right to track these changes.  It’s quite far enough to the Right already for my liking!  Let UKIP and the Tories fight it out on immigration and the EU – we might even see some Tory MPs defect to UKIP.

I was relieved to see Ed Miliband praise the idea of the EU whilst criticising some of its manifestations in his speech to the CBI yesterday.  That is absolutely right – let’s stay in and make it better, please.

 

The road to Downing Street starts in Corby

 

By Tom walker (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Well, Andy Sawford, what’s it like to be an MP?

Whoever came up with the line that makes the title of this blog did well.  Labour’s return to power may well be seen to start with this first by-election victory against the Tories in 15 years.

In some ways Corby represents a microcosm of England.  Equally divided, or dithering, between Labour and Conservative, this seat sums up the country.  And so as Andy Sawford, Ed Miliband and the rest of the Labour Party set off from the Cube in Corby to number 10 in Downing Street they would do well to have a look around the landscape as they travel.

They’ll only have to step a little way out of Corby town centre itself to find themselves in Tory-land again. The countryside is Tory.  That means that although the votes are fairly equally divided in Corby and east Northants, as in England as a whole, the Labour vote is concentrated in the cities and large towns (like Corby itself).

It’s the same in the USA – the Republicans take the south and mid-West whereas the Democrats get most of their votes from the cities of the coasts.  And what Corby is to the English Parliament, Cleveland, Cincinnati and Columbus Ohio are to the USA.  Ohio is a swing state where the Democrats live in the towns and the Republicans live out of them.  Just the same as Corby and east Northants.

It’s easy in a way to see why this is, but difficult too.  Yes farmers vote for the Right – but hardly anybody is a farmer so that’s not really it.  Yes the rich live in nice houses in the country and vote for the Right and the Left can’t afford such places or the travel from them to their jobs and live in the towns.  But that’s not really it either is it?

Why is it that the values of Left and Right are reflected so clearly in geography?

As a Labour voter I am pained by how out of touch the Labour Party is with rural issues – public transport, internet access, farming, wildlife and the landscape.  And I wish I would hear more sense on these issues from Labour.  Why isn’t Labour doing better in the countryside – it can’t be that country people don’t want equality, fairness and a One Nation England and UK?

Don’t worry Ed – you’ll get my vote anyway because there is more to life than the countryside and the people who live in it.  But – there is a lot more to life than cities too.

 

Andy Sawford MP

By Tom walker (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

The result:

Corby by-election, 2012
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Co-op Andy Sawford 17,267 48.4 +9.8
Conservative Christine Emmett 9,476 26.6 -15.6
UKIP Margot Parker 5,108 14.3 N/A
Liberal Democrat Jill Hope 1,770 4.96 -9.54
BNP Gordon Riddell 614 1.7 -3
English Democrats David Wickham 432 1.2 N/A
Green Jonathan Hornett 378 1.1 N/A
Independent Ian Gillman 212 0.6 N/A
Cannabis Law Reform Peter Reynolds 137 0.4 N/A
Elvis Loves Pets David Bishop 99 0.3 N/A
Independent Mr Mozzarella 73 0.2 N/A
Young People’s Party Rohen Kapur 39 0.1 N/A
Democracy 2015 Adam Lotun 35 0.1 N/A
United People’s Party Christopher Scotton 25 0.1 N/A
Turnout 35,665 44.79%
Labour gain from Conservative Swing 12.67[10]

 

This blog will take the weekend off and then there will be five blogs nest week (Mon-Fri) about the significance of Labour’s Andy Sawford’s victory.

 

Polling day – get out and vote please.

By Tom walker (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

I spent the first three and a half hours of the polling day (0700-1030) sitting at the Saxon Hall Polling Station in Raunds being a teller.  Actually, when I say ‘at’ I should say ‘in the entrance to’ as tellers are not allowed to do their job (unpaid voluntary job) inside the Polling Station. And it was jolly cold, and dank, and misty!  Whose idea was it to have elections in mid-November?

Let me tell you about being a teller!

The point of the tellers is to gain intelligence on voting numbers for the political parties so that they can mobilise their known supporters to get out and vote.  So if Party A thinks you are a supporter and knows that you have voted (because you gave your polling number to the nice man or nice lady as you arrived (or left)) then they won’t bother you later in the day to encourage you to vote.

You are entirely within your rights not to give the teller any information at all – and a few people didn’t.  Most people though were happy to tell us their polling number and have a chat as they entered and left the Polling Station.

At this Polling Station, we were voting (because I took off my party rosette and went into the warm to vote myself half way through my stint) in three elections.  There was the Police Commissioner elections that are happening across England today but also the Parliamentary by-election for Corby and east Northants caused by the resignation of the sitting MP Louise Mensch, and also a Town Council election.

If you have been following this blog at all over the past weeks you will have a good idea of how I voted in all three elections.  The Police Commissioner vote entailed voting for a first and second choice.  The Parliamentary election involved choosing between 14 different candidates.  And the Town Council was a straight ‘fight’ between the reds and the blues.  Two of the ballot papers went in one ballot box and the other in another.  It was noticeable that quite a few people spent quite a lot of time making their choices – perhaps they didn’t want to go back out into the cold or perhaps they did find some of it a bit confusing.

We tellers got on very well outside – no manifestations of party rivalry there.  For some of the time both of the Town Council candidates were present and were chatting away to each other.  In fact the Tory Town Council candidate bought me a cup of coffee and a couple of mini mince pies which was very kind of her – and which I did not construe as a bribe or inducement.

We tellers chatted about the candidates, about previous elections, about local issues, about national issues, about the cold, about the coffee, about the apparent apathy of some local residents and got on famously.

People came and went – mostly voters but also a policeman checking something or other, and another official checking the notices etc.  One voter wanted to offload her frustration to one of the parties as she exited but mostly people were briefly pleasant and then went about their daily activities.

It was strangely moving to see people coming to cast their votes early on this day of dreary weather.  There were the old and a few young, but there were couples and families.  There were the less able and the sprightly, there were the smilers and the frowners. They were taking part in an activity that people in this country gave their lives to achieve and then to protect.  Across the world democracy is still a fragile right in too many places.  Here we gladly take it for granted – and long may that continue as it means that democracy is live and well.

If you are somewhere where you are entitled to vote today then please do vote. We get the politicians we choose and politics determines how much tax you pay and how it is spent.

I do care who you vote for – but I also care that as many people as possible exercise their voting rights.  And let me put it this way, if you don’t vote then please don’t moan about who gets elected!

Footnote: i believe that we may not know the result of the Corby and east Northants by-election until quite late tomorrow morning by which time due to other commitments i may find it difficult to write a blog.  We’ll see.  But this blog will continue for a few more days after the event with some advice to the successfully elected candidate.  Some time next week this blog will cease to exist.

 

Tory toxic plot?

By Tom walker (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Watch this Greenpeace video about the toxic plot in the Tory Party to sabotage the UK’s leading efforts to reduce climate change.  Our constituency is at the heart of that plot – we are being used by another bunch of Tories (and you thought that might end with the departure of Louise Mensch?).

This video seems to tell a story of Tory in-fighting, Tory dirty tricks and Tory attempts to manipulate the people of Corby and east Northants.

The Nasty Party – will Christine Emmett tell us which side she is on? The planet’s, poor people’s and that of future generations or that of big business and the nastiest parts of the Nasty Party?

Vote for Andy Sawford tomorrow – a One Nation (and One Planet) Labour Party.

 

It’s not over ’til it’s over

By Tom walker (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

You don’t win elections through polls – you win them through votes.

That said, the betting is a fair indication of what is likely (not certain) to happen.

Last week, when the BBC (and others) were saying that the Presidential race was too close to call, the betting clearly indicated an Obama win – he was 1/2 a few days from the election day and 3/10 when I finally had a bet.  It is not without risk but it is a very good rate of interest – 33% in 2 days – find me a bank to match that!

By Gabby Canonizado (Flickr: Horse Race Complex 03) [CC-BY-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

On Betfair  there has been less than £10k bet on the Corby by-election result and you can get odds, for small amounts of money, of 60/1 that the hapless Christine Emmett will hold the seat for the Nasty Party.  In fact the most interesting part of the race appears to be whether the Conservatives can beat UKIP who are on offer with Betfair at 70/1. Neck and neck for 2nd then!

William Hill are giving stingy odds of only 20/1 on the Nasty Party so you should take your money to Betfair if you are feeling lucky Ms Emmett.  William Hill are trying to make some sort of race out of this by having bets on whether the Conservatives will retain (1/33) or lose (10/1) their deposit and which of UKIP (2/9) and the LibDems (3/1) will beat the other.

But at Naas in Ireland on Sunday a very good hurdler was unexpectedly beaten at odds of 1/7 (and that doesn’t happen very often). So come on Andy Sawford, pick up your heels, drive for the line, jump the last few fences, don’t fall flat on your face (as so many of my selections have over the years) and carry your red and yellow colours to victory and the winner’s enclosure.

The race still has to be won and there is no retirement to stud if you do win.

Then the hard work really happens.

Vote for Andy Sawford and a One Nation Britain.

A constituency sleeps

By Tom walker (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

If you were doing a poll of voting intentions by displayed placards then it’s a close run thing between Magenta, William Brown and Taylors in Irthlingborough/Ringstead/Raunds.

I did see a large Conservative placard in a field, but there weren’t even any mad cows in the field to vote for the Nasty Party.  A smattering of Labour posters did add colour to a few windows.

In Raunds, not even the Conservative Club could manage a Conservative poster.

Maybe no-one will vote on Thursday and my single X against Andy Sawford’s name will carry the day.